So even though the first week of the NFL is in the books, I figured it is not too late to make some predictions on how the regular season will finish, and the post season as well. My predictions are referring to my thoughts before the season started, even though they are a week late in getting posted. I'll give a little review on how I think each division will finish, and then how the playoffs will look.
AFC east
The AFC east is a really intriguing division. You have the Patriots who should still be considered an elite team, Especially if quarterback Tom Brady can make improvements and return to his pro-bowl form. You have the New York Jets, who have been getting tons and tons of media attention. They made a run to the AFC championship game after going 9-7 during the regular season. The Miami Dolphins made a close run to a wildcard spot last year, and should be better as young QB Chad Henne continues to mature. Then there is also the Buffalo Bills, who will be just awful, sorry Bills fans.
To me I see the Patriots repeating as division champs, the media has been all hopped up on the Jets and a possible superbowl run, I don't see it happening. Even though the Jets defense should be amazing, and when I say amazing I mean top notch, I don't see the offense doing enough to get them to the superbowl. The Jets last year got lucky and made the playoffs. When I say they got lucky I do mean they got lucky, the last two games they played were against the Colts and Bengals, both already had playoff spots cinched up, so they rested their starters. The Jets basically were given two wins the last two weeks of the year, and made the playoffs. I haven't been impressed with Sanchez, the Jets QB, and since they have gotten rid of their best rusher Thomas Jones, and have put the task of running the ball to future HOF'er Ladainian Tomlinson and second year back Shonn Grenne. As much as I love L.T. I don't see him being able to carry the load, and I am uncertain that Greene can take a full season of rushing the ball. Remember the Jets led the league in rushing, I figure the Jets will have to pass more, and that will not be good as Sanchez is not ready to lead the team at this moment.
My pick : Patriots win the division.
AFC North.
Tons of people are thinking that the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals will both be elite teams this year, I am not buying it yet. I can see the Ravens being a great team this year, and making a solid playoff run, but I don't see them as an 'elite' team yet, Joe Flacco hasn't proved that yet and the Ravens secondary looks weaker than normal. I am impressed with the offseason pickups of WR's Anquan Boldin and T.J. Houshmandzadeh, but I don't think it will be enough this year. As for the Bengals, I just see them being an ok team this year. I like Carson Palmer, but I am just not sold that they will be a competitive team. Head coach Marvin Lewis is to blame in my opinion.
The Steelers should be good once Ben Roethlisberger comes back from his suspension. I think their defense will be elite as long as safety Troy Polamalu stays healthy. Although I don't think they will be able to win the division, look for them to win a wild card spot.
As for the Cleveland Browns, sorry Clevelanders, it will be another bad, bad season. But with Mike Holmgren running operations things should get better soon.
My pick: Baltimore Ravens win the division. Steelers win a wildcard spot
AFC South
Will the defending AFC champions repeat as divisional winners? Yes. Will it be easy? NO. No way will the Colts be able to walk through the division like they have in the past, not with the Texans and Titans figuring things out. The Colts should still be one of the best teams in the AFC and have a legitimate shot at winning the superbowl, however the Texans and Titans both are heading in the right direction. Remember the Titans started off 0-6 last year with Kerry Collins as QB, after they put in Vince Young they finished 8-2, with loses to the Colts and Charger. Indy should be aware of the Texans and Titans, it won't be a cake walk to win the division
My pick: The Colts win the division, the Texans finally make it to the playoffs with a wildcard birth.
AFC west
This is by far the ugliest division in the AFC. The Chargers have lost some firepower in losing RB L.T. and who knows if WR Vincent Jackson will be a member of the team, or if he will be traded as he is in a massive contract holdout. The Chargers never seem to be good enough to make a superbowl run, but should win the division. The Chargers are lucky they have the Raiders and Chiefs, who are both rebuilding...again. The Broncos might pose a challenge, they started last year 6-0 before finished 8-8 on the year. It is unclear if the Broncos will be rebuilding since the stupidly drafted QB Tim Tebow in the first round. The Chargers should win the division, but it won't be easy.
My Pick: Chargers win the division
NFC East
The NFC East always seems to have teams that are over hyped or overrated in them. Mainly the Dallas Cowboys, who many people are saying will go to the superbowl and be the first team to 'host' a superbowl. I really don't see it happening, and I don't see a lot of good coming from this division overall. The Giants started 5-0 last year and everyone had them built up as a 'super' team, they then went on to finish a pedestrian 8-8 and miss the playoffs. I've never been a fan of Eli Manning, I don't think he is all that good. I don't see the Giants doing much, or the Eagles for that matter. The Eagles cast off QB Donovan McNabb and decided to go with untested Kevin Kolb as their starter. I don't see him having a break out year that would be necessary to get the Eagles to the postseason. In fact I see them finishing last in the division as long as Kolb is the starter, things could change if Vick starts however. The Redskins defense should be really good this year, and by adding veteran QB McNabb to the roster is huge, as well as hiring coach Mike Shanahan. The Redskins will surprise people as they make these changes.
My pick: Cowboys win the division
NFC North
The NFC north has two very, very good teams, and two pretty bad teams in it. The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers both look really good and have valid Superbowl aspirations. The Detroit Lions are in major rebuilding mode, and the Bears appear to be in no mans land as long as they have QB Jay Cutler at the helm.
The Packers offense should be deadly again, and if their offensive line can protect Aaron Rodgers, the results could be fantastic. The Packers defense needs to step up and play better if Green Bay wants to be playing in Dallas in February.
The Vikings should be a good team as well since Brett Favre came back. A lot will depend on the health of Favre, especially his ankle, and how much he gets hit. The Vikings won't be as good as they were last year, with WR Rice out at least 6 weeks and their offensive line getting older, but they will still be good and should challenge for the Superbowl again.
My pick: Green bay wins the division, Minnesota takes the first wild card spot.
NFC South
Many people are saying that the Saints have almost no chance of repeating as either Superbowl champs, or as NFC champions. The word 'fluke' is sometimes hard regarding last seasons Superbowl win. I don't see it that way, and its not just because I am a lifelong, die-hard Saints fan. It's because the Saints have the best QB in the game right now, Drew Brees and a whole slew of good receivers, such as Colston, Henderson, Moore and Meachem. Not to mention TE Jeremy Shockey and RB Reggie Bush. The Saints defense will still be the biggest question mark this season, their defense gave up a lot of yards, but was able to capitalize with turnovers. Another season with defensive coordinator Gregg Williams will only make this squad better.
The Atlanta Falcons should be able to bounce back from a bad 2009 season. Michael Turner should be healthier and better this season and QB Matt Ryan should be able to bounce back from a sub par second season. The Falcons also have an easier schedule, and with a solid coaching staff they should make a run into the playoffs.
The Panthers and Buccaneers are both in big rebuilding phases and shouldn't be too much of a threat to the Saints or Falcons. Expect them to get better this year, but nothing to get excited about.
My pick: Saints win division, Falcons win the second wild card.
NFC West
This is probably the worst division in the whole league, any team could really win it this year, although the 49ers do look like the team to beat early on. The defending divisional champs Arizona Cardinals lost WR Anquan Boldin as well as future hall of fame QB Kurt Warner, and replaced him with Derek Anderson. Those aren't really comforting thoughts for Cardinal fans. The cards should still be able to compete in the division, but don't expect them to run away with it in any shape, way or form. Same thing goes for the 49ers, their defense should be good and the offense should improve. If Frank Gore can stay healthy, the 49ers will have a great running game, it will really be up to QB Alex Smith to finally prove if he can lead the 49ers or not. As much as I would love to see Smith succeed, I don't see it happening. Smith was a great college QB, but his skills have yet to translate into the NFL and I think we won't improve much more. However he may still have a decent season, he does have some good targets to throw too, TE Vernon David and WR Michael Crabtree to name two. Many people are thinking the 49ers are gonna make a serious run in the playoffs, I jsut see them trying to win the division.
The Seahawks and Rams are both in big rebuilding stages, and shouldn't do a whole lot. The Seahawks have a new coach in Pete Carrol, and who knows if he will be successful in the NFL unlike his previous stints at head coach in the league. The Rams are on the rise, but not enough to make a playoff run.
My pick: 49ers win the division, but it isn't pretty.
Playoffs:
I see the following teams making the playoffs this year
AFC: Colts, Patriots, Ravens and Charger winning their divisions. With the Steelers and Texans getting the wild card.
NFC: Saints, Packers, Cowboys and 49ers winning their divisions. With the Vikings and Falcons getting the wild card.
AFC championship
Patriots over the Colts
I see the Patriots making the Superbowl again with a healthy and confident Tom Brady. The Colts will be a great team, but I don't see them making it to the Superbowl again. The rivalry between the two teams gets even better.
NFC championship
Saints over the Cowboys
The Saints will advance to another Superbowl, this time by beating the Dallas Cowboys. I see the Saints offense and improved defense to be too much for the Cowboys, who honestly just lack discipline and leadership, they have raw talent however.
Superbowl
Saints over the Patriots
Repeating as SB champs is very hard to do, but I see the Saints as having the mental toughness to get it done. Drew Brees can lead a team to victory, even if he is not throwing the ball. He can 'will' a team to victory. The Saints D should be a lot better, especially if they stay healthy, unlike what they did last year. The Patriots will put up a good fight and it should be another exciting Superbowl, but the Saints should win this. And I am saying this in my honest opinion, not just because the Saints have always been my team